Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label polls. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

PENNSYLVANIA GOVERNOR WANTS OBAMA TO RETURN: WORRIED HE IS LOSING THE STATE

This seems to be consistent with McCain's internal polls that show him closing the gap in that state.

Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell has sent two separate memos to the Obama campaign in the past five days requesting that the Democratic Presidential candidate—as well as Hillary and Bill Clinton—return to campaign in Pennsylvania, Rendell told CNN's Gloria Borger.

Rendell said the McCain campaign is clearly making a push to win Pennsylvania, given the recent visits by the Arizona senator, his wife and his running mate. As a result, he wants Obama to appear in western Pennsylvania, Harrisburg and one more “large rally” in Philadelphia. Democrats generally worry that the race is significantly closer than what recent polls have suggested. According to Rendell, there is also worry among Democrats the McCain campaign has successfully raised the enthusiasm level among Republicans in the state.

“I don’t want to be selfish,” Rendell said. “But I’m still a little nervous, so I have asked Obama to come back. We understand he’s got demands from 20 different states, but we’d like to see him here.”

Obama's support appears to be weakest in the western part of the state, a region Pennsylvania Rep. Jack Murtha recently called 'racist,' and one where he badly lost to Sen. Hillary Clinton in the Democratic primary.

Thursday, October 16, 2008

OBAMA'S POLL NUMBERS GO UP, AND THE DOW GOES DOWN

I'm just sayin'


Tuesday, September 23, 2008

OBAMA'S MINIONS THROWING RACE CARDS LIKE RICE AT A WEDDING

Are you catching all the commentators, articles, polls and other mediums claiming latent racism will cost Obama votes on election day? It seems to be all over the news the past two days. Last night, after a google search, I counted no less than 50 different articles released in the past 3 days raising the specter of racism and harmful effects on Obama's chances in November. The question is why all these stories now? This is nothing other than a concerted attempt by the media and Obama's minions working on a wink and a nod from one another to remind white voters that they're racist if they don't vote for Obama. The white man's guilt trip he laid on voters worked very well for Obama in the primaries, and with him slipping in the polls, the time is now to lay that guilt trip again.

Friday, September 12, 2008

OBAMA PANIC HITS CAPITOL HILL

Mecca...You have a problem:

Democratic jitters about the US presidential race have spread to Capitol Hill, where some members of Congress are worried that Barack Obama’s faltering campaign could hurt their chances of re-election.

Party leaders have been hoping to strengthen Democratic control of the House and Senate in November, but John McCain’s jump in the polls has stoked fears of a Republican resurgence.

A Democratic fundraiser for Congressional candidates said some planned to distance themselves from Mr Obama and not attack Mr McCain.

“If people are voting for McCain it could help Republicans all the way down the ticket, even in a year when the Democrats should be sweeping all before us,” said the fundraiser, a former Hillary Clinton supporter.

“There is a growing sense of doom among Democrats I have spoken to . . . People are going crazy, telling the campaign ‘you’ve got to do something’.”
Panic ain't pretty.

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

ENTER THE BRADLEY EFFECT

Bone up on this. I predict the Bradley effect will weigh heavily in McCain's favor.

The term Bradley effect, less commonly called the Wilder effect, refers to a discrepancy between voter opinion polls and election outcomes in American political campaigns when a white candidate and a non-white candidate run against each other. Named for Tom Bradley, an African-American who lost the 1982 California governor's race despite being ahead in voter polls, the Bradley effect refers to a tendency on the part of white voters to tell pollsters that they are undecided or likely to vote for a Black candidate, when, on election day, they vote for his or her white opponent.

One theory for the Bradley effect is that some white voters give inaccurate polling responses for fear that, by stating their true preference, they will appear to the pollster to be racially prejudiced. The reluctance to give accurate polling answers has sometimes extended to post-election exit polls as well. The race of the pollster conducting the interview may be a factor into voters' answers. Some pollsters believe that they do not receive deliberately false answers from white voters. The Bradley effect, these pollsters believe, is caused by pollsters' failure to account for general conservative political leanings among undecided voters.
Get schooled here.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

WOMEN DESERTING OBAMA

More bad news for the Obamatons: since last month, there’s been a 20-point shift towards McCain among white women.

Change!

Friday, September 5, 2008

PALIN SPEECH MOVES INDEPENDENTS

Palin Speech Moves Independents: Results of two nationwide polls conducted by SurveyUSA show Sarah Palin's speech at the Republican National Convention on the evening of 09/03/08 has helped the McCain campaign.

24 hours ago, independent voters nationwide were split on whether Palin was an asset or a liability to McCain's campaign. Today, by a 2:1 margin, independents say Palin is an asset. Overnight, the percentage calling the Alaska governor an asset to the campaign climbed 13 points; the percentage calling her a liability fell 17 points.

The numbers are similar among moderates, who 24 hours ago viewed Palin as a liability by an 11 point margin; today, Palin is seen as an asset by an 18 point margin.

And this from Rasmussen:

“Over half of U.S. voters (51%) think reporters are trying to hurt Sarah Palin with their news coverage, and 24% say those stories make them more likely to vote for Republican presidential candidate John McCain in November,” Rasmussen Reports announced Thursday in posting survey results which determined “just five percent (5%) think reporters are trying to help her with their coverage, while 35 percent believe reporters are providing unbiased coverage.” In Thursday's “Grapevine” segment, FNC's Brit Hume highlighted the findings from the poll of 1,000 “likely voters.”

By wide margins, more Republicans, Democrats and unaffiliated voters see the media as trying to hurt rather than trying to help Palin. For Republicans it's 80 to 6 percent, for Democrats 28 to 4 percent (with 57 percent believing reporting is unbiased) and for unaffiliated voters it's 49 to 5 percent.